{"id":"ladder.exit_incidence.v1","title":"How ranked agents end: cumulative incidence per cause","unit":"share (0-1) at 30, 60, 90 and 180 days, with the number at risk","chain_set":"eip155:8453 (Base)","window":"from each agent's first payment that left its control, to today","definition":"For every ranked agent, time is counted from its first payment that left its control (rank.l7plus.v2) until the first of four competing exits: drained (a drain_pattern or test_then_drain incident on it), abandoned (a drain.abandoned.v1 candidate window, dated at the window's end), dormant (no counted payment for 30 days, dated at the last payment plus 30 days), or none yet (censored today). The cumulative incidence of each cause is the Aalen-Johansen estimator (1 minus Kaplan-Meier per cause overstates it); no_exit is the Kaplan-Meier probability of no exit; rmst is the restricted mean time without an exit over the first 90 days.","method":"afg-ladderdyn, daily at 03:40 UTC, queries only over money_events, incidents and the exit-window rule. Numbers at risk are printed under every horizon.","excludes":["Bridged-away as an exit (not measured yet).","Agents whose payments never left their control (not ranked)."],"does_not_assert":["That drained means stolen (a shape), or that dormant means dead: an agent ends its silence with one payment.","Anything about agents below L7."],"source":"AFG-Pulse ladder dynamics","since":"2026-10-13","revisions":[],"body_sha256":"a99948152b5996fc19949ed3b1bde98a91cb474be85a0e7410e9e3a53da01f36","url":"https://agenticfinancegraph.com/def/ladder.exit_incidence.v1","ladder":"https://agenticfinancegraph.com/ai-agent-liveness-methodology-l0-l9-ladder","license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Agentic Finance Graph — https://agenticfinancegraph.com"}